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FBI went Fishing and Caught a Sad Sack

September 22nd, 2020 No comments

I was watching local news last night and caught some news about a NYC policeman arrested for being spy for China. I was wondering what intelligence China would want from NYC police rather than a cryptographer. Then I read the news from South China Morning Post about details of the case and can’t help but laugh that FBI is scraping the bottom of the barrel and some unwitting sad sack got reeled in to satisfy the quota Director Wray set about opening a case per week to satisfy Trump’s wish for Cold War and threat from China. Although it’s no laughing matter for the subject and other Chinese caught in the dragnet if they are not careful and being naivete that U.S. is a land of freedom and free speech.
Baimadajie Angwang is a Tibetan who when came to U.S. on a cultural exchange and probably persuaded to ask for political asylum and became a U.S. citizen and NYC policeman. As most Chinese Americans know it’s rather easy to ask for asylum and get a green card if you are from Cuba, Jews from Russia, or China if you can borrow money to pay off lawyers and immigration officials. You don’t even need be a Falun Gong adherent, but claim religious persecution, against one child policy, and it’s guaranteed if you are a Tibetan or Uighur. Lawyers coach you on how to answer standard questions during interviews and I am pretty sure if you dig deep enough most will have some lies and fall under stature of perjury. Exception being if you are from shit hole countries. Apparently FBI has been monitoring him for 3 years and can’t find real espionage and decided to reel him in to justify the expense of following him and wasting tax payers’ money.
Certainly no spy would openly meet friend from consular and boast on telephone jokingly being recruited by China, only someone naively believe in free speech. trying to convince his friend to attend banquet of Tibetan group when his friend decline by saying it would befriend other Tibetans and maybe recruit them. Remember, words can be easily twisted to be sinister when you are joking. Then there is the question of wire fraud of money transfers from China to U.S. and back to China. Money totaling $120,000 including $49,985 from his brother were transferred opening to him from China, and $150,000 were transferred back to China a few years later. I thought spies in movies always deal in cash and one direction only, and clandestinely not openly by banks. I puzzled this for a few seconds, then realize China has a limit of $50,000 of money transfer out of the country per year per person. Probably he borrowed the money from his brother and relatives to buy a house or apartment and later returned the money with interest when he sold the house. The fact he didn’t revile China and maintain friendly relations with his brother who is a reservist in PLA definitely counted against him.
I am sure all are aware that some academic and scientists who traveled frequently back to China are harassed and questioned if they receive unreported income from some university in China and were arrested on technicality or accused of commercial espionage. It’s understood that China being dictatorial and everyone is monitored in China, but now one has to assume you are living in 1984 in U.S.A..

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Random Thoughts after Democratic Convention

August 23rd, 2020 1 comment

With the Democratic Convention over and Republican next it’s obvious China is the target for both parties. as I am a Maoist in theory but just a petite Bourgeoise in practice I can’t help but thinking about the future for U.S.. All the kumbaya and stirring speeches belies the fact the pandemic exposes the chasm in American society and bleak future despite records keep breaking in the DOW.
Professor Chen Ping recently stoked backlash against him when he claimed income of 2,000/month Yuans which is approximately $300 in Shanghai might not be bad compare $3,000/month in Los Angeles which I totally agree as you have to live in U.S. for a while to appreciate his humor and irreverence. Most Chinese have no idea U.S. is no utopia and sliding toward a cliff. I lived in NYC and when driving into Manhattan faced panhandlers on almost every other red light. Last night during dinner my niece who is married to an Irishman and teleworking from her $5,000/month luxury apartment commented of all the homeless living in empty hotels and her colleagues rather than brave through the unwashed are leaving in drove to the suburbs. Compare that with all the crowds in water park in Wuhan I am not optimistic about New York, with rent moratorium and eviction over soon and homeless will swell like a tsunami.
I guess the nth QE will slow the deterioration somewhat as long as the rich around the world will squirrel their loot in U.S. and keep the dollar afloat as reserve currency, but that is more under assault. I do hope China starts soon to divest those dollars and bonds.
I am not a Trumpie and wish the democrats well. At least their management will be gradual slide rather than an explosion like in Beirut. Any vaccine will not fundamentally change the direction of the slide. The ultimate human rights is the right to life, not some meaningless vote.

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«Honored by the U.S. Department of State»

August 8th, 2020 No comments

Sayragul Sauytbay/Сайрагүл Сауытбай was by the U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on 4 March 2020 given the «International Woman of Courage»-award (IWOC), an American award presented annually by the U.S. Department of State (mainly to opposition figures in other countries), https://www.state.gov/secretary-of-states-international-women-of-courage-award/

Image from state.gov

Besides on Jun 22, 2020 the book «Die Kronzeugin: Eine Staatsbeamtin über ihre Flucht aus der Hölle der Lager und Chinas Griff nach der Weltherrschaft» by Sayragul Sauytbay and German journalist Alexandra Cavelius was published on «Europaverlag. And «Scribe Publishers», a publisher in the United States, is going to translate and published the book in the UK, the US and Australia in May 2021 under the title «The Chief Witness: Escape from China’s Modern-Day Concentration Camps», https://www.dw.com/en/how-china-is-destroying-kazakh-culture/a-54434930

Journalist Alexandra Cavelius has earlier cooperated with Rebiya Kadeer, former president of World Uyghur Congress, on writing the book: «Rebiya Kadeer, Alexandra Cavelius: Die Himmelsstürmerin, Chinas Staatsfeindin Nr.1 erzählt aus ihrem Leben» (Verlagsgruppe Random House, 2007). and with the English version: «Dragon Fighter: One Woman’s Epic Struggle for Peace With China» (Kales Press, 2009)

Earlier in 2013 U.S. Department of State had given a similar «IWOC»-award to Chinese Tibetan Tsering Woeser.

A sum of money probably follows the award, but that is not stated at the web-site of the U.S. Department of State.

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2010 Brazil Factory Time Travels to Xinjiang

July 27th, 2020 No comments

No, that didn’t happen. What did happen is an example of America’s full-spectrum propaganda against China.

Here’s an article from Forbes on forced Uyghur labor when it first appeared in March, and then updated when it was exposed for using photo of a factory in Brazil. Notice the March date remain unchanged, no editorial correction:

Extent of Protest Violence in Hong Kong Hidden By Western Media

June 20th, 2020 No comments

Now it seems America’s Color Revolution has come home to roost, we can see the difference in narrative between protest violence at home and the Hong Kong protest violence that was glorified and rationalized by our media back then.

So just how bad was it? Take this incidence of protest violence as example. An off-duty officer was jumped by 3 rioters a year ago. He suffered over 20 stab wounds and lost portions of fingertips. When his wife arrived the doctors told her to “be prepared”. Officer Wei managed to survive the 14 hour surgery ended with a hundred stitches all over his body. To date he is still struggling to recover and may require additional surgeries:

(Warning: graphic footage in interview)

(LEFT: Officer Wei’s upper right arm bone was exposed by the two cuts; RIGHT: Officer Wei were stabbed multiple times, including cuts nearly a foot long)
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Has China Won by Kishore Mahbubani

June 13th, 2020 No comments

There are many China experts talking about China, but most do not really understand China. Kishore Mahbubani is one of the few I would like to recommend who can talk about China with some understanding. His most recent book “Has China Won” generate quite a stir in Western academic circles and there were a few debates with other experts you can access in YouTube. He is a retired Singaporean diploma and was head of delegation to UN.
As you can see from the title he thinks China is winning the war with West and analyzing the event before the Corvid pandemic, and the recent conversations and debates he further accentuate China’s advantage versus West. He is generally friendly with China although critical in the perspective of liberal thinkers in general. He agrees with Professor Zhang Weiwei and consider China from the perspective as a civilization with more than 2,000 years of unbroken history and various philosophies shaping the present course rather than the normal critics as authoritarian or even Marxism.
Though he thinks China made a mistake in overplaying her hand and being arrogant and triggering the attacks by Trump Administration rather than continue to play Deng’s strategy of hiding her strength. And the fact of alienating the U.S. business community and causing overwhelming negative reaction from U.S. populace. I think he is wrong in that analysis as negative reaction was inevitable as China climb the ranks from way down to near the top. The Bush administration was ready to cut down China to her size as the spy plane incident developed, but was sideswiped by 9/11 and Bin Laden. Obama was ready to encircle China with Pacific Rim agreement and was cancelled by ignorant Trump. Islamic terrorism although damaging in Xinjiang did gave China 15 more years of breathing room with U.S. pressure and sanctions as Huawei and China is now on semiconductors.
Professor Mahbubani is correct on China’s defensive nature and diplomatic policy. He is too optimistic on whether West can rise to China’s challenge and he is rare among the Western experts being seeing China clearly.

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Beware: The Ghost of Tiananmen is Coming to America.

June 1st, 2020 3 comments

As we get closer to the infamous date that many westerners would like to remember about tanks running around Tiananmen Square, I would like to remind why the events leading it in the first place. In case if you are brainwashed by western propaganda, the Chinese in early 1989 at the time saw rampant inflation and the Chinese government at the time weaning people out from the Iron Rice Bowl. Some people are simply disgusted how corrupt officials get rich while many other people suffer, especially academics. I rather not get into the details of this, but when the government doesn’t listen to the demands of its people, the government loses its legitimacy.

Fast forward today in America. America has been socialist for the Rich thanks to the bailout during the financial crisis, thanks to Obama.  This snake oil salesman president also crushed the occupy wall street movement by the way. President Trump made it worse by giving rich people tax breaks. He bungled covid-19 response and gave the rich tax breaks and gave the poor the scraps. What stuck me to write this article is that the pro-business CNBC knows that this is happening.

Many Americans stuck at home, jobless, see their business evaporate, seeing many minorities die while the stock market went sky high, big businesses getting bigger. There is enough kindling out there to start the fire and the death of George Floyd is just the catalyst. If George Floyd was killed 6 months ago, the response will not be so intense.

Like what happened in early 1989 in China where its people questioned the legitimacy of its government, I think today many Americans have the same feeling. Do they care if some local stores get looted or burnt down? Probably not. Meanwhile, Trump floated the idea about sending out the military to quell the protests. Let’s hope that June 4th will not be an ominous day in America just like in China. Then again, president Trump, the elites and western media are blind thinking that these riots and protests are really about a racial problem and firing police officers and putting them in jail will solve the problem, I think they are wrong.

America’s Decline over Hong Kong’s National Security Law.

May 29th, 2020 4 comments

I’ve wrote this article an article about a year ago of why I believe that Trump is the best thing to China since Nixon.

Trump’s mishandled almost every foreign and domestic policy from Trade war with China. Now Trump is knee deep in a recession and handling the coronavirus. China seems to have the upper hand controlling of the coronavirus situation and has passed the National Security Law in Hong Kong.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/global-economy/article/3086558/hong-kong-national-security-law-us-set-go-it-alone-hard-line

I recall several months ago when the Hong Kong government was proposing to pass the extradition treaty many other countries were outraged that this would happen. Compared to this many countries including Japan, South Korea, India, ASEAN as well as EU seems to be pretty quiet about this. Besides the US, only the other 4 five eyes countries (Canada, UK, Australia and New Zealand) are somewhat vocal about China’s latest move. Perhaps it is another sign of America’s decline and China’s rise.

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Covid-19 Exists Long Before It Came To Wuhan

April 13th, 2020 3 comments

While western media wants to portray that China is making up ‘conspiracy theories’ about the origins of the Coronavirus coming to the US, many epidemiologists will point otherwise. However, the fact is that many pandemics start locally and it takes some time before it spreads worldwide and it usually starts in small wave(s) before it goes critical. Here are several instances of such outbreaks.

  1. Oct-Dec 2019, Italy.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-timing/italian-scientists-investigate-possible-earlier-emergence-of-coronavirus-idUSKBN21D2IG

This outbreak happened in Northern Italy in the last 3 months of 2019 where hundreds more people got hit with the same symptoms. Because the virus has spread unabated, the recent second wave got hit very hard to Northern Italy and spread to neighboring countries including Switzerland, Germany, and Spain,

However, the Chinese believe this virus spread within Wuhan as the result of the Military Games in October 2019 and it comes from the US. In fact, many point out with the closure of Fort Detrick because of how it handles hazardous pathogens last August.

2) Virginia, US June/July 2019.

Another “mysterious illness’ with the same coronavirus symptoms happened in Late June/Early July in Greenspring retirement home.

https://wjla.com/news/local/new-total-of-sickened-individuals-at-greenspring-retirement-community

As the result of this outbreak, 3 people died and more than 80 elderly and staff got sick. Many people point to a security officer who works in Fort Belvoir which is very close to this nursing home as the source of the infection.

[Editor’s note: rolling updates on coronavirus timeline]

France:

New York:

New Jersey:

California:

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Example of US Government’s latest Coronavirus Propaganda

April 3rd, 2020 5 comments

Earlier Allen had talked about US government’s effort to smear China. While Trump has moderated his rhetoric after the G20 call with Xi, the propaganda push continues with latest round accusing China of deliberate under counting.

The obvious fake news from the likes of Falun Gong are easy to spot, but the consistent Echo Chamber by mainstream media is harder. For example this article from US government funded propaganda outlet Voice of America contributing to the claim Chinese government is excluding or not counting asymptomatic individual: https://www.voanews.com/science-health/coronavirus-outbreak/china-officials-exclude-asymptomatic-covid-19-carriers-data

The sixth edition of the guidelines, released March 7, reads, “Asymptomatic patients with clinical manifestations will be promptly amended as confirmed cases.”

This is an especially insidious piece of propaganda. Although VOA translated the part they want you to focus on about asymptomatic individual not being classified as confirmed case thus excluded, its conclusion defies logic – how is it possible to say these cases are not tracked, if their classification are to be amended later?

VOA simply left out the part about counting asymptomatic individual. Here’s the relevant section omitted, from the 6th edition coronavirus reporting guideline – asymptomatic positive cases are in fact counted as suspicious case and amended to confirmed case once symptomatic:

(3) Report Early.

1.Case report.

Various healthcare organization should report suspected, confirmed, asymptomatic individual within 2 hours online. …

2. Report Update. Suspected cases should be immediately updated on confirmation or exclusion. Asymptomatic positive individual should be immediately updated as confirmed, on symptom manifestation.

(三)早报告。

1.病例报告。

各级各类医疗卫生机构发现疑似病例、确诊病例、无症状感染者时,应当于2小时内进行网络直报。…

2.报告订正。疑似病例确诊或排除后及时订正。无症状感染者如出现临床表现,及时订正为确诊病例。

And here’s the irony – while the Chinese test and track asymptomatic positive cases, we don’t count them because we don’t test people without symptom. Here’s what Yale School of Medicine said early on that never made press:

Surveillance is inherently difficult, especially for a respiratory disease caused by a novel virus during what is normally flu season in China. … So, just because the modeled projection and the numbers on the ground don’t add up, it does not imply that there is a cover up. The institutes in China have thus far done an outstanding job of communicating throughout a very challenging and dynamic situation.

Video: Hong Kong Black Terror Violence

February 28th, 2020 1 comment

Here’s a video on all the Black Terror violence that went down in Hong Kong during the Color Revolution (warning: graphic violence):

Short Take: Democratic Establishment vs progressive candidates and especially Bernie Sanders.

February 26th, 2020 No comments

It seems apparent now that Bernie is becoming the Democratic candidate for president. He is becoming a target not just from the Republicans but from from the Democratic establishment themselves. Perhaps the best illustration of this is from Late Night comedy show.

While he is not my first choice of a candidate, I do see why he is so appealing and many democratic voters see him more appealing than many of the Democratic establishment candidates.

French state-owned international television supports Mr. Fangbin in Wuhan

February 16th, 2020 3 comments

Yesterday 15/2-20 «France 24» news network, showed a video about Mr. Fangbin in Wuhan, who was interrogated by the police, after he had entered hospital areas and filmed patients and alleged body bags, and also posted his videos on Chinese social media platforms. (The videos were also posted by Jennifer Zeng @jenniferatntd at Twitter).
The videos are badly made and actually it’s just a stupid story, but France 24 has made it into a human rights issue, and also talks about all the support Mr. Fangbin has got on the internet. See his videos and France 24’s article at https://observers.france24.com/en/20200207-china-wuhan-coronavirus-Fangbin-shopkeeper-censorship-videos

One of France 24’s sources is an US-based group called «Chinese Human Rights Defender». And what sort of group is that? «Radio Free Asia» (Washington, D.C.) wrote in 2018 the following about their work: «Advocacy group China Human Rights Defenders (CHRD) and a partner NGO, Equal Rights Initiative, said Friday that in the southern XUAR alone some 660,000 rural residents of Uyghur ethnicity may have been detained in the camps, while another up to 1.3 million may have been forced to attend mandatory day or evening re-education sessions in their villages or town centers.»
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/uyghur/millions-08032018142025.html
From this one can see that «Radio Free Asia» surprisingly is using a tiny and almost unknown organization, called Chinese Human Rights Defenders, as a reliable source on Xinjiang.

The staff at Chinese Human Rights Defenders (CHRD) are «International Director» Renee Xia (Mandarin, English), +1 863 866 1012 (+1 is USA and 863 is Florida area code), and Frances Eve (English), +1 661 240 9177 (which is in California; Twitter: FrancesEveCHRD). At their website no street address is given, but a post-box: PO Box 1905. Washington, DC 20013 USA.

One may wonder who takes care of their postbox, since none of the two lives in Washington DC? Ajit Singh and Ben Norton at Grayzone has checked the US tax forms of Chinese Human Rights Defenders, and found rather shockingly that: «On its tax forms, CHRD lists its address as the Washington, DC office of Human Rights Watch.» https://grayzoneproject.com/2018/08/23/un-did-not-report-china-internment-camps-uighur-muslims/amp/

At the web-site of Chinese Human Rights Defenders they write about their mission: «CHRD operates a small emergency grants program which provides legal aid and emergency assistance to victims of human rights abuses.» https://www.nchrd.org/about-chinese-human-rights-defenders

Since such a small organization also is able to «empower grassroots activism in China», as they write, they need funding, and a list at Hidden Harmonies, https://blog.hiddenharmonies.org/2018/09/03/the-national-endowment-for-democracy-and-china/ shows that in 2017 Chinese Human Rights Defenders probably got $672,000 from the National Endowment for Democracy (NED)! (The donations at NED’s web-site are called «Assistance for Human Rights Defenders: $272,000, «Capacity Building for Human Rights Defenders: $300,000», «Defending and Assisting Rights Defenders: $60,000», and «Humanitarian Assistance for Human Rights Defenders: $40,000»)

$672,000 was in 2017 around 4,5 million yuan – a huge sum in China, and CHRD has likely used parts of these money to fund opposition activists and anti-government projects inside China.

Sadly state-owned «France 24» television – with millions of viewers, is willing – without any reservation, to use this obvious anti-China group as a reliable source about what’s going on in Wuhan. That is journalism at a low level.

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Don’t buy in the Coronavirus hype.

January 28th, 2020 4 comments

Right now many Chinese cities are on the lock down and at the epicenter of this outbreak at Wuhan people could not come in and leave the city. While I agree that there should be some preventative measures to stop this virus from spreading like cancelling public events, shutting down the city by shutting down transportation and schools are excessive.

https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/the-new-coronavirus-what-we-do-and-dont-know-2020012518747

Let’s step back to what is a coronavirus. According to this Harvard article:

Coronaviruses are an extremely common cause of colds and other upper respiratory infections. These viruses are zoonoses, which means they can infect certain animals and spread from one animal to another. A coronavirus can potentially spread to humans, particularly if certain mutations in the virus occur.

So yes, coronaviruses are common cold virus but this is a particular new strain which started in Wuhan. The problem with this virus is that many people who gotten this virus don’t show much symptoms and could be carrying the virus for days before we get sick. But to think about it, people don’t usually get really sick from the common cold either. For all we know, that this virus has spread far and wide already without knowing about it.

We also have to think about how many people who are infected vs the number people who actually died from this virus.

https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-01-24/china-coronavirus-panic

https://www.livescience.com/56598-deadliest-viruses-on-earth.html

The Latest data is 4474 infected and 107 dead. That’s little more than 2%. To put that in perspective, many other viruses such as Ebola and smallpox outbreaks has been more higher mortality rates than this coronavirus. Heck, the common flu killed hundreds of thousands every year and there is no pandemic for this.

To put in perspective of the last coronavirus, SARS, I believe that this was also overblown. This virus eventually faded away because people had overcome and developed an immunity for this virus. This will happen to this coronavirus.

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Embracing Islamic terrorism

January 21st, 2020 No comments

Chris Kanthan has just published an article called «Embracing Islamic terrorism». The article, together with 23 links, is a shocking and well-documented review on American foreign policy:

https://www.nationofchange.org/2017/05/28/embracing-islamic-terrorism/

  • In link number 3 John Kerry, at that time US Secretary of State, says: «They (the Syrian government) are targeted by the opposition, who we are arming and training […] What we are trying to do is help Syrians to fight for their own country. And we have been spending a lot of money, a lot of effort to try to help do this.» Kerry’s comments came at a meeting that took place at the Dutch Mission to the United Nations on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in September 2016.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JdVa5qoh_80
  • Link 7: What did American vice president Joe Biden say in 2015: «Our biggest problem is our allies … the Turks … the Saudis, the Emirates et cetera. What were they doing? They were so determined to take down Assad … What did they do? They poured hundred of millions of dollars, ten thousand of tons of weapons into anyone who would fight against Assad. Except that the people who were being supplied were al-Nusra and al-Qaeda and extremist elements of jihadists coming from other parts of the world! So you think I am exaggerating?»: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOf7jzc7faY
  • Link 10 is a telegram written by US Secretary of State 30/12-2009: «Saudi Arabia remains a critical financial support base for al-Qa’ida, the Taliban, LeT, and other terrorist groups, including Hamas, which probably raise millions of dollars annually from Saudi sources, often during Hajj and Ramadan.» LeT is Urdu for «Lashkar-e-Taiba», literally Army of Good, one of the most active Islamist terrorist organizations in South Asia. https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/09STATE131801_a.html
  • Link 15 was a video with the title «Kill Shiites, Christians and Jews» – Textbooks for kids in Saudi Arabia (25/5-2017), but it can’t any longer be found at YouTube.

At the end of his article Chris Kanthan also mentions the problems with terrorism in China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.

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As Australia paraded Wang Liqiang FUD, his spy story fell apart – Did they not learn from Chen Yonglin?

December 2nd, 2019 1 comment

When Yours Truly first saw this news, I’m reminded of Washington DC’s full frontal assault on Beijing Olympics by coordinating protests from Tibet, Xinjiang, Falun Gong – remember Chen Yonglin’s “1000 spies in Australia” allegation that failed to secure Chen political asylum?

Here’s a quick run-down on Wang Liqiang:

  • Then Chinese netter quickly spotted some problem with this guy. Apparently Wang Liqiang was convicted of fraud in 2016 and subsequently confirmed by relevant agency that Wang escaped to Hong Kong early 2019 after a new fraud proceeding against him began:

But as usual, facts don’t matter when it comes to Western media’s Official Narrative on China – all you have to do is Google to see how far from reality the dominate message is.

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My Thoughts on Trump’s Impeachment in the Implications on China.

September 27th, 2019 2 comments

It seems that Trump has really screwed up this time. I’m not going to go details of this but unlike the first ‘election interference’ with Russia during the 2016 elections which doesn’t seem to gel, this one seems so blatant and so clear, his fellow Republicans didn’t really defend him this time.

It is very likely that the Democratic Led House will push through the articles of Impeachment before the end of the year but the firewall is the Republican Led Senate is the only thing holding him back from Impeachment. This is very different from Clinton’s Impeachment when Clinton tries to lie his way to cover up his affair, but more like Nixon’s Impeachment on Watergate.

The problem with Trump is that he is not a true blooded Republican, as he previously supported many New York Democrats and many Republicans don’t like his spending or Tariffs. So with little love from his fellow Republicans, what will happen with his supporters in the Republican Senate? Will they throw Trump under the bus in order to save themselves?

Let’s say if Trump do get impeached, Pence will become president. Pence is not an idiot compared to Trump and Pence won’t gain favors within China. I’ve said that Trump is the best thing to China since Nixon because of his idiotic foreign policies but Pence will not be the same. So I am kind of hoping that Trump staying in office for another year until he gets elected out but you will never know.

P.S. My bet is that Bolton is the whistleblower.

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Links on the unrest and riots in Hong Kong (part 1)

September 6th, 2019 6 comments

Here are Links on the unrest and riots in Hong Kong… If China or any other nation sponsors this kind of terrorism on the U.S., there would be WWIII. Appreciate the restraint being exercised in Hong Kong, as well as in Beijing…

Read more…

Wither Hong Kong

June 26th, 2019 9 comments

Now the Western media has quiet down on events from Hong Kong I would like to put in my 2 cents from a totally different perspective. I have lived in Hong Kong for 2 years from 59′ to 61′ before immigrated to U.S.. I guess those demonstrators will continue to make noises to a dwindling audiences without any real objective other than the total withdrawal of the extradition bill and/or resignation of Carrie Lam. Many have applauded the success of democracy and implied rebut to China, but probably secretly polished their passports to Canada or Australia.
When Deng designed the 1 country/2 systems and 50 years transition he was hoping that China will develop and Hong Kong will converge with China mainland gradually. In the 22 years China has developed beyond anyone’s dream and many cities in China has surpassed Hong Kong economically. Yet Hong Kong has remained trying to move away from China. From the China’s view point, the extradition bill is not that important, it’s nice to have for those who committed economic crimes like embezzlement be returned to China which has frequently occurred from Europe and other parts of Asia. Hong Kong being the gateway to Western financial center has gradually eroded in importance, and China likes to integrate Hong Kong with other areas in Pearl River Delta as Shanghai did in Yangtze River Delta. Many in Hong Kong relish their role like India’s Brahmans being under their colonial lords yet much above the peons from China’s interior. Their resistance to using Mandarin as official language to educational reform placing more emphasis of Chinese history and patriotism to insults to Chinese anthem and flag, incidents like against Chinese purchase of baby milk products to negative reactions to some tourist behaviors from China. Yet the clock is ticking toward 2039 and anxiety is rising in Hong Kong. Do they really think China will allow the crossing of red line of allowing HK independence party? Of course they use the noble concepts like democracy and rule of law to cloak their nebulous unease and lack of future choices. Their choice of being Hong Kongers and not Chinese only reveal their colonial heritage.
The governor of Hong Kong is essentially a caretaker with limited power. Hong Kong is dominated by the real estate tycoons that need to keep the price of housing high and unaffordable to most. The young people know that limits their prospective in life and are rebellious, yet they don’t know what they can do other than rebel against the Big Authority, not the real powers behind the scene. Hong Kong government can use some of the surplus to construct more public housing instead wasting it on periodic dividends of a few thousand dollars to everyone. Hong Kong is one of the lowest taxed city in the world. The high cost of housing means those who have an apartment of their own costing up to millions of dollars have invested on the concept of high housing price and will resist any proposal to lower the price. If those students really studied their quandary and start to demonstrate for affordable housing I am sure they will really hit on the nail on the head.

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Counter Narrative

June 4th, 2019 No comments

When Trump raised tariffs and blame China for the impasse, China waste no time in issuing the “White Paper” in defending her position during the negotiation, and even CGTN anchor went on ” Fox Business report ” to debate Trisha Regan. Now this time of the year roll around with Western media trope out the usual suspects to attack China, the only response is silence. I understand why China consider harmonious society of paramount importance, yet why abandon the high ground to the enemies when China has a legitimate case to be made and history has validated the choice Deng and the leadership made?
Certainly the political turmoil ( Note, not a counter-revolution ) of June 4, 89 was a tragedy of Shakespearian proportion. It’s incorrect that Chinese government has not accounted for this event. Immediately afterward there were accountings of about more than 30 Chinese PLA soldiers killed by the rampaging mobs and hundreds of civilians killed in the suburbs, with pictures of burned military vehicles with bodies of soldiers in them. The thousands of students in the squares were unharmed and a negotiated withdrawal was effected. It was just that Western propaganda was so effective that Chinese government decided against any dialog and kept silent since. Historical events don’t happen without underlining causes even if the immediate trigger maybe spontaneous. Arab Spring was triggered by the self immolation in Tunisia, while student protest in Beijing was due to the death of Hu Yaobang and corruptions people perceived since his removal. Yet the Arab Spring now is more like Arab Winter, and China has move hundreds of millions of people out of poverty into middle class, which is a story never happened in history and West is desperately trying to erase from any narrative. Certainly the fear of another Cultural Revolution colored the official response to the student protest of 89, and the consensus that the lack of forceful response and division worsen the situation cause the forceful response to any protests afterwards. I do hope China is self confident to revisit history and make adjustments.

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A reminder of why I think Trump is the best thing to China since Nixon

May 28th, 2019 4 comments

Despite the nasty trade wars and the recent Huawei ban that is going on, I still think that Trump is the best thing to China since Nixon. Let me explain. One glaring thing about the Huawei ban is that other countries didn’t join on it, instead there’s more of the wait-and-see attitude. Thanks to Trump’s America First policy, he has essentially abandoned America’s leadership in the world, and some of the leadership has been taken over by China. Trump trade wars is not just going after China, but to many of its allies as well. Even when Trump’s nuclear option to start banning Chinese companies to do business in the US, Wall Street did not react thinking that Trump would make some kind of deal by the end of this year. This is more like a negotiation tactic to get favorable concessions from China instead of outright destroying China.

Before Trump, many people within China has high regards to the US and its place in the world. I think Xi’s message to its people about the Long March is a mission is to displace the US because they are no longer a competent global hegemon. The Chinese with its self-determination no longer rely on the US for support. Thanks to its China’s belt and road policy, other non-western countries will be more favorable to China than the US and looks to China for leadership.

I believe that either a Republican or Democratic president will be elected, both of them will be anti-China. Let’s say that Hillary Clinton had won the presidency instead of Trump. The TPP will be enacted against China. Clinton would probably make up some excuse to restrict Chinese companies like Huawei anyways, but the US will get support of other countries also. Many see China’s rise is a threat, but I think US’ decline is a bigger threat than China’s rise and we are seeing that this is being played out.

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Huawei’s ban and China’s reliance of American technology

May 20th, 2019 2 comments

Since Huawei has been put in the “entities list,” by the US government, many US based companies has stopped doing business with Huawei including Xilinx, Qualcomm, Google, and Intel. Unlike last year’s fiasco with ZTE because of issues with ZTE doing business with Iran, this is nothing to do with Huawei’s wrongdoing by the US government. Since the news of ZTE broke has year, Huawei has developed solutions to mitigate this problem.

  1. Huawei has https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3010507/huaweis-day-reckoning-arrives-it-has-been-preparing-almost-year stockpiled on American made parts ahead of this notice for up to 12 months. So Huawei’s 5g equipment disruption won’t be affected in the short term.
  2. Huawei has made substantial mitigation in terms of keeping smartphone business alive. Huawei has developed its own Kirin SOC’s for their smartphones and had developed HongMeng OS to replace Android OS as a replacement. HongMeng OS was developed as an Open platform of Android much like Amazon’s Fire OS on its devices. However, being locked out from google’s play store doesn’t mean that you cannot install play store in its OS much like how you can do it on Fire OS. Furthermore, ARM holdings has developed a JV with
    Hou An Innovation Fund so it allows Chinese manufacturers to develop its own version of ARM chips in the future.
  3. Huawei’s Matebook’s future is uncertain as Intel has joined the blockade. AMD-China joint venture has produced Hygon Dhyana CPU’s along with Via-China joint venture produced the ZhaoXin CPU’s might come up in the future. As Microsoft did not join in the blockade as of this moment, Huawei can still sell Windows PC on one of these types of CPU’s.

Made in China 2025 policy is designed because they want to reduce on foreign technologies in case of situations like this would occur. It would only further China to re-double efforts for China to ween away from American technology. The only question is would the Chinese government do if trade talks if China and US would further break down.

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Huawei HiSilicon CEO He Tingbo’s Open Letter

May 18th, 2019 No comments

On the eve of US Commerce Department’s ban on Huawei and 70 affiliates from sourcing U.S. components, He Tingo, the CEO of Huawei’s chip fabrication arm HiSilicon, sent a letter to her employees (original follows translation):

Esteemed HiSilicon Colleagues:

Right now, you may well know Huawei has been listed on BIS’ entity list.

Years ago, while the water is calm, we have evaluated extreme scenarios for the company’s survival; anticipating one day losing access to America’s advanced chip technologies yet still continue to serve our customers. While assuming the day will never come, thousands of HiSilicon employees embarked on the most solemn technological long march in our history in order to create a “spare tire” for the company’s survival. Given the wide range of Huawei products, technology and equipment used, we faced thousands of sleepless nights, countless failures, but never giving up.

In the following years, as we step out of the fog, seeing hope yet with unresolved feeling that many of the chips will never be produced, only to become backup plans locked in a vault.

Today, fate has brought an extremely dark moment. A superpower made an insane decision to ruthlessly cut off a cooperative global technology and production system; without a shred of evidence, placed Huawei on the entity list.

Today, chosen by history, all of our backup plans became “plans” overnight! In a day, years of blood sweat tears became ticket to continuing our promise to our customers. Yes, our hard work will safeguard the strategic safety of majority of the company’s products; majority of our product supply continues! Today, this darkest day, is a day that define the ordinary heroics of HiSilicon employees!

It is Huawei’s mission to create a connected digital world and bring it to everyone, every family, every organization, and that mission continues. To realize this ideal, we need to innovate and more importantly achieve technology independence! The road ahead will no longer have another 10 years to create spare tires, as the buffer have disappeared. Every new product will need to lock step with “technology independence” initiative.

The road is arduous, thru courage intelligence perseverance, under the extreme pressure we will forge ahead! True color of a hero shines under distress; Noah’s Arc was made for difficulty.

He Tingbo

May 17th, 2019

尊敬的海思全體同事們:

此刻,估計您已得知華為被列入美國商務部工業和安全局(BIS)的實體名單(entity list)。

多年前,還是雲淡風輕的季節,公司做出了極限生存的假設,預計有一天,所有美國的先進芯片和技術將不可獲得,而華為仍將持續為客戶服務。為了這個以為永遠不會發生的假設,數千海思兒女,走上了科技史上最為悲壯的長征,為公司的生存打造「備胎」。數千個日夜中,我們星夜兼程,艱苦前行。華為的產品領域是如此廣闊,所用技術與器件是如此多元,面對數以千計的科技難題,我們無數次失敗過,困惑過,但是從來沒有放棄過。

後來的年頭裡,當我們逐步走出迷茫,看到希望,又難免一絲絲失落和不甘,擔心許多芯片永遠不會被啓用,成為一直壓在保密櫃裡面的備胎。

今天,命運的年輪轉到這個極限而黑暗的時刻,超級大國毫不留情地中斷全球合作的技術與產業體系,做出了最瘋狂的決定,在毫無依據的條件下,把華為公司放入了實體名單。

今天,是歷史的選擇,所有我們曾經打造的備胎,一夜之間全部轉「正」!多年心血,在一夜之間兌現為公司對於客戶持續服務的承諾。是的,這些努力,已經連成一片,輓狂瀾於既倒,確保了公司大部分產品的戰略安全,大部分產品的連續供應!今天,這個至暗的日子,是每一位海思的平凡兒女成為時代英雄的日子!

華為立志,將數字世界帶給每個人、每個家庭、每個組織,構建萬物互聯的智能世界,我們仍將如此。今後,為實現這一理想,我們不僅要保持開放創新,更要實現科技自立!今後的路,不會再有另一個十年來打造備胎然後再換胎了,緩衝區已經消失,每一個新產品一出生,將必須同步「科技自立」的方案。

前路更為艱辛,我們將以勇氣、智慧和毅力,在極限施壓下挺直脊梁,奮力前行!滔天巨浪方顯英雄本色,艱難困苦鑄造諾亞方舟。

何庭波

2019年5月17日凌晨

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Trade War and Trump

May 9th, 2019 6 comments

When 2016 election was in full swing I wrote that Hillary will be a good manager for the decline of U.S. while I fear Trump was unpredictable and fear war with Iran and North Korea. Instead now we have possible war with Iran and trade war with China. As most Chinese can predict that Liu He will not surrender to Trump demands and the full effect of tariff rise will be in effect tomorrow unless Trump has one of his unpredictable Tweet storms.
Most observers agree the trade war will hurt both U.S. and China but it will hurt China more and U.S. can withstand the effects easily. I beg to differ here and suggest possible retaliation China can take. I do not take lightly the effects will have on Chinese economy, but I think China will be able to overcome the adversity and come out stronger. The 200 billion tariffs will go up from 10 to 25%. It will mostly affect those high tech intermediate machine parts that firm like Cummin Engine use to assemble diesel engines. Those company will not be able to re-source their supplies to alternative supplies in U.S. or Europe and have to pay the tariffs and raise prices. Of course long term they can close their factories in China and try to move them to places like Vietnam, but that will force them to lose their investments in China and initial investments will be huge. If Trump raise tariffs for the remaining 300 billion, he will cause problems for Apple phones and Walmarts and affect consumers and inflation in U.S..
As for China the worry about labor shortage and population aging will be alleviated by the closing of those supplying U.S. productions and transition to a service economy. Although China doesn’t have as much imports from U.S. as exports for tariff retaliation, China can be creative in semiconductors like memory chips forcing manufacturers using make in China and shut out those from U.S.. China can impose surcharges like 50% ticket price for Hollywood films to reduce the soft power influences of Western values. This may violate WTO rules but if it’s retaliation probably will be allowed. As for financial and insurance China can shut out Wall street and allow European firms in reciprocal equal dealings. As for the 2 trillion holdings in dollars, China can gradually allow the bonds to expire and redeem them rather than sell them but convert them to resource assets from around the globe. China still has plenty of infrastructure works that can mobilize excess capacities of labor, for example the diversion of water from the Himalayas toward Xinjiang and North China for agriculture. With the coming climate crisis China can prepare well ahead of the curve.

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May 4, 2019

May 5th, 2019 2 comments

Yesterday was the centennial for the May 4th movement. China commemorates it with celebration and Xi’s speech, and everybody else tried to lay claim to be successor for it, even NYT has an article trying to belittle China’s achievement by saying today’s China reminds him of warlords of 1920s China. So we as Chinese whether be in China or overseas Chinese culturally attached to her have to answer the question asked by the leaders of that movement, “Where is China heading?”. We have the hindsight of the history of last 100 years to answer affirmatively when we sing the “Ode to Dear Motherland” that China is heading toward prosperity and peace.
Professor Zhang Wei-wei in his TV program “China Today” repeatedly stated we should have self confidence in facing West in equal term, and not trying to hide behind like Yao Ming crouching behind a short person. The “Belt and Road” initiative is a counter to Trump’s tariff war whatever the outcome of the negotiation. The attack on Huawei and 5G is failing in Europe and elsewhere. The visa restriction of Chinese scientists visiting U.S., not only in physical sciences, but social sciences speaks more on the desperation felt in Washington than any real spying. It’s true both parties in U.S. are increasing hostile toward China because of the increasing economic power of China and influence in the world today. The question on “Mr. Science” is obviously answered. On the question on “Mr. Democracy” quite a few people are still trying to badger China especially some intellectuals. Yet we only have to look at Washington today to see the falsity of pseudo democracy on what people want and the road blocks on real democracy, from gerrymandering to denial of Florida voters will for former convicts’ right to vote, from electoral college with minority candidate winning the presidency to influence of money in politics. From the U.S. dominance of international institutions such as U.N. or World Bank. Yet the Trump withdrawal and wall signals the decline of this monopoly power.

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U.S. Immigration Policies.

April 15th, 2019 No comments

Coming back to New York from a vacation in Europe reading about all the firing of top people from Homeland Securities, first rank people from border enforcement and customs, and the confusion near the Mexican border. We ourselves were caught by long line of total mismanagement that drag passport control in JFK to near 2 hours. Unlike those in Europe or China where facial recognition software and fingerprinting make an efficient entry to simple stamping your passport. We waited nearly 20 minutes after landing to be able to dragged to an open gate to unload, walking 15 minutes through long empty corridors we manage to get to passport control, where 1/2 dozen workers line us up against 25 machines to scan out passports and taking our picture. Yet soon all those machine stood empty while we still wait on line for our examination. I saw a dozen gates mostly said closed with 2 open for us citizens and 2 for foreigners. I assume this should be pro forma as surely computer has already did their work, but no, the examiners repeatedly have to escort charges to see their superiors. Finally a lady examiner on the other line seeing our bedraggled condition nodded for us to get on her line to wave us through.
U.S. immigration policies were always part of her foreign policy. From the Cuban refugees, Russian Jews, and dissidents from other countries. It was always a scam that if you can afford to payoff a lawyer you can probably get in. Although myself an immigrant I find the birth/citizen policy ridiculous with all those pregnant women from China waiting to give birth here. The 1 child policy and religious persecution gave wide latitude for green card.
The election of Trump give all the resentments against those policies visibility and if democrats are not careful more fuels. As a nation the border issue is important sovereignty issue, but if U.S. is to maintain as an empire, then they will be subservient to so called human rights, rule of laws rubric. Trump wants to maintain the U.S. Empire, being number 1 for him is important, but he also wants to have absolute control on barring those unfortunate refugees. U.S. has 2 oceans preventing all those refugees from Africa and Asia, and sufficient controls over those Central American banana republics from causing problem, but with the internet age, the allure and the coming climate refugees will force a decision by Washington whether to close border to become a nation state rather than an empire.

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This Is China ( China Today)

March 17th, 2019 2 comments

As a Chinese American who’s an obsessive reader of anything about China and a reader of New York Times for over 50 years I find it surprising that there are more Chinese on the pages of opinion writers and editorial pages recently, the only unsurprising thing is it’s still anti-China to a large extent. Obviously it represents the liberal view points of democracy, human rights, and rule of law that represent the antithesis of Chinese narrative. It certainly is not difficult to find those Chinese who left China and embrace Western values to take on anti-China positions as marketplace will attract those with affinity to Voice of America propaganda views. I suspect CIA financed think tanks spent millions trying to understand China would have done better by reading columns like mine or Shanghai based program by Professor Zhang Weiwei “China Today” which is on the 9th weekly installments available free on YouTube.
The TV program is about 40 minutes long each, and Professor Zhang of Fudan University and his associates discuss topics about recent political developments and then a TED like talk to young university audiences and take questions from audiences. There is no taboo questions and they touch on various topics from analysis of Chinese society, minority areas, history, and even term limit. Professor Zhang asked the young people to be self confident and confront West with his answers direct and up to the point. For example he answered the question westerns asked him about why China didn’t have a color revolution by quoting a Chinese student showing 2 pictures of Bond from Shanghai, 1 from 1990, and another from 2010s. The pictures are self explanatory.
The program is shown on Monday night Shanghai time, and usually posted on YouTube by Monday evening or Tuesday morning Eastern time in U.S.. These shows are a powerful tools and shows China’s soft power. The main criticism I have is it is a Chinese show and is on Mandarin. I wish they are translated to English and other languages so it can be disseminated all around the world. Since the program is still ongoing, I will not be critical but suggestion on the other taboo questions. It is more than 50 years since Cultural Revolution and 30 years since TAM incident. When I visited museum of Chinese Communist Party founding in Shanghai, there were many pictures of the founding members of the Chinese Communist Party, including those who defected, exiled, or even surrendered to Japanese. It gave a biographical sketch of their accomplishments, whether martyred or betrayed the cause, even a Russian who was executed wrongly by Stalin. These are the histories and China is not afraid to face them. China did say Mao made errors from the Cultural Revolution and gave him a grade of 70% versus 30 % errors. It is past time to examine the cause and lessons from Cultural Revolution, both positive and negative.

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“Wandering Earth”

February 12th, 2019 No comments

I with my son last Sunday went to the AMC on Time Square to see “Wandering Earth”. Figuring with 3 screens showing the movie we wouldn’t have trouble, but we were wrong with all the tickets sold out. With Chinese internet ablaze with different viewpoints talking about the movie I would like to put in my 2 cents even before I have a chance to see the movie. As a Si-Fi fan even though I haven’t seen the movie yet, I am familiar with the story line and read about the debates.
Those who are against the movie are mostly Chinese whom are western oriented liberal persuasion. They have a sense of inferiority complex toward West, anti-nationalists to the point of taking positions against any government initiative. The criticisms on esthetic, technical, or comparing to other western Si-Fi movies are rather irrelevant as it’s to the taste of each individual, but the real reason is to the core of value system the movie portrays. That’s also the reason Chinese government likes this movie although it was privately produced and was somewhat ambivalent toward the author and Si-Fi in general. It’s the value of Socialism versus Capitalism, of society against individual, whether individual rights have absolute priority against societal needs. That question has been answered by Chinese in their choice of votes with tickets to see this movie.

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My opinions of the Democratic/Independent Nominees for 2020 Elections thus far

February 1st, 2019 4 comments

As you know, elections won’t happen until for at least 21 months from now but I am slightly more optimistic towards voting for Democratic nominees. Though most of the candidates seem to serve the corporate interests thus why many people including myself who don’t serve in the people’s interests. Here’s what I think of some of these candidates. This is the weakness of the Hillary Clinton during the 2016 elections. I’m sorry to say that most of these Democrats/Independent candidates would make Ronald Reagan proud.

1) Howard Schultz – This guy is fiscally conservative but progressive on “moral causes.” He reminds me of some Libertarian.
2) Tulsi Gabbard – She claims that she is anti war but received 100k from defense contractors.
3) Cory Booker – He is so corrupt and claims that he will fight for the ordinary people. Come on, I can see through his BS.
4) Pete Buttgieg – Who is this guy?
5) Julian Castro, John Delaney, Kirsten Gillibrand – All “Moderate” candidates of the likes of Clinton.
6) Kamala Harris – I’m not positive about her. She received alot of corporate donations but now she is running as a progressive. Doesn’t fool me.

So it comes to the last Candidate Elizabeth Warren. She seems to be the only genuine progressive who goes after big banks with a populist message. The problem with the 2016 election was that the Democrats pushed out the populist candidate Bernie Sanders. Can Warren prevail against the corrupt Democratic Machine? With the popular message of Alexandria Ocasio Cortez taxing the rich, maybe we can get a true progressive candidate as a Democrat in the 2020 elections.

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Qinling Villas

January 12th, 2019 2 comments

Most people in U.S. are clueless on what happens in China. They take their cue from the so called China experts on the oncoming collapse or power struggle. Even for someone like me whom is knowledgeable about Chinese politics it vex me greatly that events sometimes move in Byzantine ways. I am here talking about the anti-corruption campaign when an example was made, it seems always was a deputy or vice party secretary. The public figures open for criticism and ridicule were never the person in charge. Why the number one guy was always not in the picture or punished privately? So the public will not lose confidence of the top? This seem to be changing when Xi demands accountability from the leaders, and the people applaud this move toward responsibility and transparency. The case of Qinling villas which CCTV broadcasted as a documentary recently illustrate the changing climate. Xi when as the party secretary of eastern province of Zhejiang said, ” Green mountains and clean waters are the gold and silver treasures”. As China move from GDP Centre toward a rational policy of environmental protection, Xi has been battling bureaucracy as much as Mao did.
Qinling is the mountain range south of Xian protecting Qin from other warring states and is now a national park. Officials and private developers has been using the guise of tourism to build villas for the benefits of both. Upon exposure by the media Xi directed the local party to investigate and correct any violation in 2014. The city of Xian and province of Shaanxi dragged their feet and eventually reported that the number as 200 and demolished under 100. After 6 directives from Xi from 2014-2018, Central Disciplinary Commission finally sent a work team to enforce the directives and caused quakes and dismissals of party functionaries in Xian and Shaanxi with mayor and party secretaries of Xian and Shaanxi all removed from their jobs and under indictment and investigation for bribery. Under 1200 villas which now nobody wants to admit owning each marketed at 15-17 million yuans are in the process of demolition and return the area to pristine greens.
Unlike what West portrays, Xi is neither absolute ruler nor authoritarian for life. He’s still in his second term of office, and the change of constitution allowing longer serving I think was more geared for his associate Wang Quishan to direct against corruption. It was also served as warning to those in bureaucracy hoping dragging and procrastinating out the reform to outlast Xi. It took him 4 years to manage to crack the case of Qinling, and it’s now used for study by all other provinces as example. And I have no problem whatsoever if he desires and serves a third term and wish him good luck and bon voyage. For good leaders are rare and in short supply.

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